Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $9,606·Volume $32.6K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,736
72h +$1,736
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 16:34(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy22h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$9,606
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,736, +$1,736 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:34
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22h ago | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $867 |
| 22h ago | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $867 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $135 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 11¢ | $17 |