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LulaVaiPerder

TopPolymarket
0x7f9e2d1df78614564a70becc7fa14aa9a6623a0e
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $501.7K
Quality score
0.465
Goodas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
-$151.3K
PnL 90d
-$133.0K
ROI 90d
-8%
on $1.7M deployed
Entry edge
51%
49 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$5.1M
1934 trades
Breadth 90d
163
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 12:58
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No198.5K78¢91¢$181,584+$25.9K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes132.6K94¢99¢$130,889+$6,849
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes65.9K95¢100¢$65,833+$3,256
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes55.6K87¢96¢$53,546+$4,996
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes29.9K94¢99¢$29,515+$1,587
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?No22.7K82¢84¢$19,217+$602
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No9.5K84¢92¢$8,737+$713
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No8.3K93¢95¢$7,860+$165
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes1.6K81¢87¢$1,436+$97
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?No875.980¢88¢$768+$68
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?No846.478¢75¢$635-$26
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Yes864.669¢69¢$597-$1
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No60768¢93¢$561+$146
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?No694.472¢68¢$472-$28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 11?Yes421.898¢99¢$417+$3
Will Together be in the next Israeli government?Yes31486¢78¢$245-$25
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?No142.894¢97¢$139+$5
Will no second mandate to form a government be given after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes14771¢48¢$70-$35
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?Yes6489¢92¢$59+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?Yes39.594¢97¢$38+$1
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0%-0.3%?No30.791¢95¢$29+$1
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?No20.991¢91¢$19-$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?Yes15.997¢98¢$16+$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes0.493¢1.1¢$0-$0
Will Renan Filho win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?Yes19.651¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes373.445¢0.0¢$0-$168
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes201.1K71¢0.0¢$0-$142.0K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No49.489¢0.0¢$0-$44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?No1.2K93¢0.0¢$0-$1,099
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100K5.3¢0.0¢$0-$5,300
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes94.3K4.1¢0.0¢$0-$3,864
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100K1.0¢0.0¢$0-$1,000
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes0.983¢0.0¢$0-$1
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under3.4K89¢0.0¢$0-$3,000
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes2.1K92¢0.0¢$0-$1,975
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Yes4.2K95¢0.0¢$0-$3,985
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No0.288¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes12.8K58¢0.0¢$0-$7,363
Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs5.4K80¢0.0¢$0-$4,279
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No16.7K54¢0.0¢$0-$8,966
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?No242.668¢0.0¢$0-$165
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?No4K62¢0.0¢$0-$2,490
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No6.8K64¢0.0¢$0-$4,404
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?No15K62¢0.0¢$0-$9,253
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No3.9K35¢0.0¢$0-$1,350
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No3.2K33¢0.0¢$0-$1,059
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No3K81¢0.0¢$0-$2,453
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes0.312¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?Yes2.3K89¢0.0¢$0-$2,041
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes542.783¢0.0¢$0-$450
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Yes4K80¢0.0¢$0-$3,222
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?Yes1.6K70¢0.0¢$0-$1,145
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes6.7K15¢0.0¢$0-$1,000
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes771.70.5¢0.0¢$0-$4
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceCroatia6.1K31¢0.0¢$0-$1,894
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No3.2K88¢0.0¢$0-$2,827
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No64.4K83¢0.0¢$0-$53.2K
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No4.2K75¢0.0¢$0-$3,161
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No56.4K84¢0.0¢$0-$47.2K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No20.5K85¢0.0¢$0-$17.5K
Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Yes292.924¢0.0¢$0-$70
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No8010¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Yes171.556¢0.0¢$0-$97
Will Carlos Portinho win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?No10990¢0.0¢$0-$98
Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Yes281.731¢0.0¢$0-$86
Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?No434.473¢0.0¢$0-$318