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Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $14.4K·Volume $47.3K·Ends Jun 30, 2027
Price now:Yes19%No81%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:20computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
80% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
80%price80%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$499 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$80
Smart money entered78¢80¢at 04:20(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 232d(Jun 30, 2027)Liquidity$14.4K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $499 riding on it.

The price of 80% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 78¢; the price was 80¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $499 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$80 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:20
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d agoAlegrandebigMidSellNo78¢$78
4d agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo69¢$70
1w agoclazzy1MidBuyNo77¢$385
4w agolongliveapplesTopSellNo81¢$432
5w agolongliveapplesTopBuyNo80¢$548
5w agoHolyMoses7MidSellNo78¢$204
5w agolongliveapplesTopSellNo82¢$480
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes17¢$0
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes17¢$51
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo81¢$295
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo80¢$1,764
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes19¢$1
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes17¢$23
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes17¢$10
5w agolongliveapplesTopBuyNo81¢$482
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes20¢$11
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo74¢$1,553
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes17¢$649