Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $29.8K·Volume $66.8K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%
Smart money leans
Yes
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$3,312 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,360
72h +$3,903
Smart money entered96¢96¢at 21:57(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$29.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $3,312 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,312 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,360, +$3,903 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:57
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $17 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $123 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $17 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $123 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $156 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $156 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $333 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $93 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $32 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $25 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $333 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $93 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $32 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $25 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $9 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $9 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $66 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $66 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $72 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $19 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $38 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $174 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $13 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $94 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $28 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $17 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $169 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $115 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $61 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $35 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $10 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $72 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $94 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $19 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $13 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $28 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $61 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $10 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $169 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $35 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $38 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $174 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $115 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $17 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $75 |