TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?

ActiveLiquidity $29.8K·Volume $66.8K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 21:57computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$3,312 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,360
72h +$3,903
Smart money entered96¢96¢at 21:57(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$29.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $3,312 riding on it.

The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $3,312 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,360, +$3,903 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 21:57
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$17
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$123
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$17
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$123
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$156
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$156
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$0
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$333
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$93
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$32
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$25
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$0
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$333
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$93
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$32
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$25
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$9
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$9
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$66
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes93¢$66
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$72
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes95¢$19
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes95¢$38
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$174
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes95¢$13
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$94
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$28
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$2
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$17
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes95¢$169
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$115
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$61
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes95¢$35
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes95¢$10
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$72
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$94
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes95¢$19
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes95¢$13
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$28
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$61
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes95¢$10
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes95¢$169
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes95¢$35
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes95¢$38
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$174
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$115
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$2
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$17
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes95¢$1
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes95¢$75