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328.400.fund

ProbationPolymarket
0xefb70577dc01cee93601053a2d18d419827a0870
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $18.5K
Quality score
0
Newas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
+$13.6K
PnL 90d
+$13.6K
ROI 90d
+7%
on $182.2K deployed
Entry edge
52%
27 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$869.7K
3075 trades
Breadth 90d
126
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:05
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes5.1K97¢98¢$4,965+$72
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?Yes45.4K13¢7.5¢$3,406-$2,719
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?No3.1K92¢94¢$2,899+$63
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?Yes3.3K57¢84¢$2,816+$932
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?Yes5.4K22¢33¢$1,817+$610
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes3.6K23¢21¢$756-$55
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes2.6K15¢18¢$462+$66
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes269.198¢100¢$268+$4
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 13?Yes269.279¢96¢$259+$46
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?Yes1K15¢18¢$189+$36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes3K7.0¢6.3¢$187-$21
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 9?No186.8100¢100¢$187+$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?No183.641¢85¢$157+$81
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Yes948.59.0¢4.7¢$45-$40
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?No14.284¢88¢$13+$1
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No12.679¢97¢$12+$2
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes20K2.4¢0.0¢$10-$460
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026?Yes8202.0¢1.1¢$9-$8
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?No124.23.8¢2.7¢$3-$1
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Yes3.6K11¢0.1¢$2-$406
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?No0.689¢100¢$1+$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes0.740¢35¢$0-$0
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes132.37.0¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes2.2K0.5¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will the Republican Party win the IN-06 House seat?No1.4K5.6¢0.0¢$0-$78
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No893.336¢0.0¢$0-$322
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?No71.98.3¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas?Yes2.6K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes14229¢0.0¢$0-$41
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Yes158.30.7¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes437.91.7¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Yes5.3K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$133
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?Yes494.610¢0.0¢$0-$50