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ProbationPolymarket
0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $261.8K
Quality score
0
Newas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
+$179.2K
PnL 90d
+$123.4K
ROI 90d
+11%
on $1.1M deployed
Entry edge
50%
35 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$2.8M
2863 trades
Breadth 90d
120
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:10
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No87.6K73¢73¢$63,672-$472
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No48.4K76¢92¢$44,394+$7,668
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No39.9K85¢90¢$35,911+$1,901
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes26.6K98¢98¢$26,087-$126
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes39.2K44¢45¢$17,753+$437
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No17.5K97¢97¢$17,058-$25
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes14.6K77¢91¢$13,237+$1,999
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes14.5K84¢90¢$12,939+$824
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes15.2K48¢47¢$7,135-$152
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No6.2K42¢98¢$6,093+$3,447
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3.1K92¢98¢$3,083+$180
Will Dana F. White Jr be the next White House Press Secretary?No2.9K94¢99¢$2,860+$139
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No2.9K93¢95¢$2,743+$44
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2.3K94¢94¢$2,187-$11
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No2K80¢97¢$1,944+$344
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?Yes2K72¢93¢$1,824+$412
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes1.4K68¢73¢$998+$64
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes849.770¢86¢$735+$140
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No776.765¢75¢$583+$79
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?No537.136¢45¢$239+$48
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes1.5K23¢11¢$166-$182
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?No175.629¢40¢$70+$20
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes3.5K0.5¢1.8¢$64+$47
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes7522¢18¢$14-$3
Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?No4082¢27¢$11-$22
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes148.16.7¢6.6¢$10-$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes1.7K22¢0.0¢$1-$382
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No0.888¢98¢$1+$0
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes1586.1¢0.1¢$0-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsT130K43¢0.0¢$0-$12.9K
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)T130K63¢0.0¢$0-$18.9K