| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 285.2K | 74¢ | 97¢ | $277,329 | +$65.7K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100K | 72¢ | 80¢ | $79,500 | +$7,744 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 74.1K | 90¢ | 99¢ | $73,288 | +$6,208 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 27.2K | 83¢ | 98¢ | $26,574 | +$4,105 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.7K | 82¢ | 97¢ | $20,064 | +$3,054 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 39.2K | 63¢ | 40¢ | $15,534 | -$9,042 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 36.8K | 38¢ | 3.8¢ | $1,381 | -$12.4K |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.4K | 20¢ | 99¢ | $1,359 | +$1,088 |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | 21¢ | 99¢ | $1,181 | +$930 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.2K | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1,145 | +$89 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 6.7K | 13¢ | 2.6¢ | $179 | -$698 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 161.9 | 65¢ | 17¢ | $28 | -$78 |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.7K | 80¢ | 1.2¢ | $21 | -$1,355 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | 78¢ | 1.1¢ | $16 | -$1,122 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 0.2 | 73¢ | 91¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday? | No | 10K | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4,200 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | Yes | 2.4K | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$656 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 7? | Yes | 0.1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 924.7 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$167 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | Yes | 43.5K | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$516 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 181.8K | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$88.0K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$121 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 1.8K | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$928 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | Yes | 11K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,607 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 219.7K | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4,613 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 32.3K | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20.0K |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 1.6K | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$656 |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 2.5K | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$196 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Yes | 5.2K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$626 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Yes | 573.7K | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$37.7K |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 26K | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9,543 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | 1.7K | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$990 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 100K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11.6K |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31? | Yes | 15 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.9K | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$615 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 23.7K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5,869 |
| Bill Belichick engaged in 2025? | Yes | 460 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$157 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 52.7K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6,584 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | Yes | 4.6K | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$251 |
| Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | No | 5.3K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$658 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | Yes | 3K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$302 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | Yes | 25.7K | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,317 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 404.3K | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$176.8K |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | Yes | 2K | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$571 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$116 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 39.3K | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$629 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | No | 435.5 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$28 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 46.6K | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$16.1K |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | Yes | 2.1K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$369 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 2.1K | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,339 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? | Yes | 33.7K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$286 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 3.3K | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,801 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 136.6K | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$22.7K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 203.8K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$33.6K |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 787.4 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$178 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 20K | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9,745 |
| Weed rescheduled in 2025? | Yes | 100 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$28 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.8M | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$378.5K |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 35K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4,332 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Yes | 16.5K | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5,555 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12? | Yes | 133K | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$56.1K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 324.5K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$51.2K |
| Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30? | No | 10.6K | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8,786 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 326.5K | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$55.4K |
| Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.3K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$393 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | Yes | 100 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4.5K | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$327 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 6K | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,158 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | Yes | 5K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$792 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 25.8K | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7,921 |
| US national XRP reserve in 2025? | Yes | 4.1K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$537 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | Yes | 2K | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$197 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 6K | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,465 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | Yes | 0.8 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15? | No | 13.4K | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$403 |