| France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? | No | 976 | 85¢ | 96¢ | $936 | +$106 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of October 2026? | No | 993.6 | 81¢ | 76¢ | $754 | -$55 |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 15? | No | 769.2 | 31¢ | 97¢ | $748 | +$512 |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? | No | 858.7 | 78¢ | 79¢ | $678 | +$6 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of October 2026? | Yes | 482.6 | 77¢ | 97¢ | $466 | +$94 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | 25¢ | 33¢ | $364 | +$82 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | 32¢ | 16¢ | $242 | -$236 |
| Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 453.6 | 51¢ | 53¢ | $238 | +$7 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of October 2026? | Yes | 180.3 | 88¢ | 96¢ | $173 | +$15 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? | No | 228.5 | 24¢ | 68¢ | $155 | +$99 |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | Yes | 1.2K | 87¢ | 9.5¢ | $111 | -$903 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026? | Yes | 132.1 | 30¢ | 79¢ | $104 | +$64 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? | No | 107.9 | 63¢ | 86¢ | $93 | +$25 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 100 | 91¢ | 93¢ | $93 | +$2 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 994 | 9.6¢ | 6.0¢ | $60 | -$36 |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | Yes | 60.2 | 33¢ | 98¢ | $59 | +$39 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 999.6 | 20¢ | 4.7¢ | $47 | -$153 |
| Will Vox win the most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 303.6 | 10¢ | 13¢ | $38 | +$7 |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Yes | 297.1 | 41¢ | 13¢ | $37 | -$84 |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 97.5 | 17¢ | 32¢ | $32 | +$15 |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31? | No | 23.8 | 75¢ | 96¢ | $23 | +$5 |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | Yes | 736.7 | 3.0¢ | 3.0¢ | $22 | +$1 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 345.8 | 6.9¢ | 5.5¢ | $19 | -$5 |
| Spain General Election: Adelante Andalucía wins a seat? | No | 159.7 | 17¢ | 6.5¢ | $10 | -$17 |
| Will PNV win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 39.1 | 12¢ | 24¢ | $10 | +$5 |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 239.1 | 11¢ | 2.9¢ | $7 | -$19 |
| Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 140 | 13¢ | 4.8¢ | $7 | -$11 |
| Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? | No | 5 | 83¢ | 80¢ | $4 | -$0 |
| James Norton announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 2.5K | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $4 | -$4 |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? | Yes | 69 | 5.0¢ | 2.0¢ | $1 | -$2 |
| James Collier announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 1.5K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$4 |
| Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? | Yes | 0.4 | 36¢ | 92¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | Yes | 7.8 | 24¢ | 3.6¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | Yes | 90 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? | Yes | 70.8 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? | Yes | 2 | 30¢ | 2.7¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | No | 424 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$77 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 534 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$131 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$471 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 10K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$250 |
| Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | Yes | 12 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | 646 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$181 |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | Yes | 3.6K | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$114 |
| Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)? | No | 961.5 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$78 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | Down | 1K | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | No | 1.7K | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$719 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026? | Yes | 368.8 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$235 |