Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $3,296·Volume $9,709·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes10%No91%
Smart money leans
No
92% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
92%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,159 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$36
Smart money entered74¢92¢at 08:08(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$3,296
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,159 riding on it.
The price of 92% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 74¢; the price was 92¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,159 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$36 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 08:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $21 |
| 3d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $85 |
| 6d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $35 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $106 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $71 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $73 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $604 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $46 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $70 |