Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of October 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $192·Volume $3,774·Ends Nov 1, 2026
Price now:Yes97%No3%
Smart money leans
Yes
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$373 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered77¢96¢at 05:37(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesended(Nov 1, 2026)Liquidity$192
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $373 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 77¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $373 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:37
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5w ago | 0xb760…ccd7Mid | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $377 |