Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of October 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $78·Volume $3,280·Ends Nov 1, 2026
Price now:Yes24%No76%
Smart money leans
No
76% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
76%price76%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$754 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered81¢76¢at 05:37(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppSignal age30dResolvesended(Nov 1, 2026)Liquidity$78
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $754 riding on it.
The price of 76% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 81¢; the price was 76¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $754 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:37
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | 0xb760…ccd7Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $19 |
| 3w ago | 0xb760…ccd7Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 5w ago | 0xb760…ccd7Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $41 |
| 5w ago | 0xb760…ccd7Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $39 |
| 5w ago | 0xb760…ccd7Mid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $909 |