Tigerofthehood

ProbationPolymarket

0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc

Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $263.3K

Quality score

0

Newas of Nov 9, 2026

PnL 30d

+$93.9K

PnL 90d

+$108.3K

ROI 90d

+11%

on $1.0M deployed

Entry edge

54%

29 resolved markets

Volume 90d

$4.8M

3495 trades

Breadth 90d

69

distinct markets

Quality score — 90 days

Delayed 1h · as of 14:02

Market	Outcome	Size	Avg price	Current	Value	PnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	120.2K	84¢	92¢	$109,997	+$8,857
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	34.3K	98¢	98¢	$33,661	+$3
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	34.2K	98¢	98¢	$33,548	-$5
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	23.9K	85¢	92¢	$22,108	+$1,697
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	19.9K	98¢	98¢	$19,527	-$82
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	15.6K	89¢	90¢	$14,129	+$234
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	12.9K	81¢	92¢	$11,863	+$1,463
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	7K	98¢	98¢	$6,891	+$18
Will Person N win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	5K	94¢	98¢	$4,912	+$213
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	3.6K	98¢	98¢	$3,544	+$22
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?	No	2.9K	93¢	93¢	$2,704	+$14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	1.8K	88¢	97¢	$1,713	+$151
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	422.3	94¢	6.5¢	$28	-$368
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	5.6K	85¢	0.0¢	$0	-$4,783