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FakePolls

TopPolymarket
0xd24b95551eb288ff82bb625dcd7f32f62abdef76
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $26.9K
Quality score
0.68
Goodas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
+$106.9K
PnL 90d
+$108.0K
ROI 90d
+26%
on $357.5K deployed
Entry edge
55%
91 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$1.5M
5714 trades
Breadth 90d
371
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 13:58
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes10.4K85¢99¢$10,301+$1,417
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes9.1K78¢98¢$8,989+$1,872
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes3K23¢98¢$2,947+$2,257
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes2K77¢99¢$1,939+$441
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?Yes1.1K4.7¢95¢$1,066+$1,013
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?Yes729.273¢99¢$720+$187
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes1.1K47¢32¢$355-$161
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes2.5K84¢11¢$266-$1,844
Sweden snap election called in 2026?No160.179¢82¢$130+$4
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes5.2K67¢2.0¢$106-$3,352
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes816.36.0¢6.0¢$49-$0
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 3 to 6 points behind Jon Ossoff?Yes6088¢62¢$37-$16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes1.4K21¢0.1¢$1-$289
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes1K37¢0.1¢$1-$370
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes22.280¢1.5¢$0-$17
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No1K10¢0.0¢$0-$100
Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Yes601.121¢0.0¢$0-$126
Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No97036¢0.0¢$0-$349
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes1.4K4.5¢0.0¢$0-$61
Will The Democrats win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes22916¢0.0¢$0-$36
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes65.94.6¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes16.3K13¢0.0¢$0-$2,122
Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes615.23.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Yes993.852¢0.0¢$0-$517
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes5.3K8.8¢0.0¢$0-$465
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Yes3.2K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$25
Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?Yes154.513¢0.0¢$0-$20
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?Yes87236¢0.0¢$0-$312
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Yes187.110¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Yes1.8K33¢0.0¢$0-$595
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes7.1K12¢0.0¢$0-$825
Will CDU win less than 17% of all valid second votes?Yes18516¢0.0¢$0-$30
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?Under14944¢0.0¢$0-$65
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Yes10.656¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No1.5K30¢0.0¢$0-$443
Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No30026¢0.0¢$0-$78
Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?Yes1.8K14¢0.0¢$0-$261
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?No80020¢0.0¢$0-$160
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes1K2.3¢0.0¢$0-$23
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?No50072¢0.0¢$0-$360
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes3.4K18¢0.0¢$0-$621
Will CDU win at least 23% of all valid second votes?Yes11611¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Yes2.3K23¢0.0¢$0-$518
Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?Yes140.233¢0.0¢$0-$46
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes4.4K21¢0.0¢$0-$920
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes12513¢0.0¢$0-$16
Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?No16064¢0.0¢$0-$102
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes147.518¢0.0¢$0-$26
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes132¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?No2.2K69¢0.0¢$0-$1,513
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?Yes2K30¢0.0¢$0-$604
Will Nicoletti win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?Yes19572¢0.0¢$0-$140
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or BSW?BSW111.75.9¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes3.5K67¢0.0¢$0-$2,359
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?Yes986.57.2¢0.0¢$0-$71
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes474.333¢0.0¢$0-$157
Will voter turnout be at least 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?Yes2.5K1.1¢0.0¢$0-$29
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes53053¢0.0¢$0-$283
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?Over1.3K45¢0.0¢$0-$572
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Yes13788¢0.0¢$0-$121
Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?Under1.8K34¢0.0¢$0-$604
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?No1K1.8¢0.0¢$0-$18
Will AfD win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 0-2%?Yes2214.0¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes3.2K26¢0.0¢$0-$810
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No3K30¢0.0¢$0-$914
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes775.416¢0.0¢$0-$121
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No20048¢0.0¢$0-$96
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes3.3K30¢0.0¢$0-$965
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes5K1.3¢0.0¢$0-$65
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes5K24¢0.0¢$0-$1,225
Will Left Party (V) win less than 5% of all valid votes?Yes437.22.3¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No281.635¢0.0¢$0-$97
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes34329¢0.0¢$0-$101
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes911.810¢0.0¢$0-$96
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes2K16¢0.0¢$0-$320
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes311.221¢0.0¢$0-$67
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?Yes761.619¢0.0¢$0-$143
Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes151.313¢0.0¢$0-$19
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Opp.4.3K55¢0.0¢$0-$2,371
Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes?Yes6015¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes1.5K14¢0.0¢$0-$198
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?Yes1.1K4.3¢0.0¢$0-$48
Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No829.96.8¢0.0¢$0-$57
Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes3.513¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win less than 5% of all valid votes?Yes442.28.6¢0.0¢$0-$38
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes6.765¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?No734.312¢0.0¢$0-$88
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes2K3.9¢0.0¢$0-$78
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes1K7.5¢0.0¢$0-$75
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes97.517¢0.0¢$0-$17
Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?Yes79.312¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes4126.4¢0.0¢$0-$26
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No116.155¢0.0¢$0-$64
Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No1K34¢0.0¢$0-$346
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No50010¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will PJD win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Yes751.13.5¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Yes49.657¢0.0¢$0-$28
Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?No22.634¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?Yes383.976¢0.0¢$0-$293
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?No4.3K5.5¢0.0¢$0-$238
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Yes405.933¢0.0¢$0-$133
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Yes22.151¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will Linke win at least 15% of all valid second votes?Yes77.33.5¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Yes757.141¢0.0¢$0-$312
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?No11.418¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No1.4K82¢0.0¢$0-$1,135
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes7K29¢0.0¢$0-$2,050
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Yes437.717¢0.0¢$0-$75
Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Yes50014¢0.0¢$0-$70
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%?No562.552¢0.0¢$0-$290
Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes39.221¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes5K44¢0.0¢$0-$2,225
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Yes1.5K69¢0.0¢$0-$1,030
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No2K24¢0.0¢$0-$480
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No8.7K7.5¢0.0¢$0-$655
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?Yes1.4K27¢0.0¢$0-$379
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Yes2K60¢0.0¢$0-$1,200
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes50010¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Yes911.12.9¢0.0¢$0-$26
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes2.1K29¢0.0¢$0-$604
Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?Yes64.318¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No699.619¢0.0¢$0-$133
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Yes1.3K12¢0.0¢$0-$162
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1.7K16¢0.0¢$0-$271
Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?No50044¢0.0¢$0-$220
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes50042¢0.0¢$0-$209
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?Yes533¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes17055¢0.0¢$0-$94
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?Yes50520¢0.0¢$0-$99
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 10–15%?Yes24511¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No998.815¢0.0¢$0-$152
Will Darline Graham win at least 55% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?Yes11.820¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?No37588¢0.0¢$0-$330
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes5007.0¢0.0¢$0-$35
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No109.414¢0.0¢$0-$15
Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No146.454¢0.0¢$0-$79
Will Diop Harris be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?Yes795.22.8¢0.0¢$0-$22
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?Yes3.1K21¢0.0¢$0-$665
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes5.630¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$28