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3648393489047

ProbationPolymarket
0x67ac9e1ad7d7e74ef0215d14fc8edb538e4fedf1
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $21.3K
Quality score
0
Newas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
-$233.5K
PnL 90d
-$339.9K
ROI 90d
-4%
on $8.4M deployed
Entry edge
49%
430 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$22.8M
19213 trades
Breadth 90d
1086
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:10
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?No15.1K75¢59¢$8,939-$2,423
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No7.2K41¢30¢$2,203-$738
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Yes2.1K95¢96¢$1,969+$21
Syracuse Orange vs. Indiana HoosiersIndiana Hoosiers2.8K68¢66¢$1,840-$45
Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?Yes1.5K94¢95¢$1,471+$15
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes2K28¢38¢$762+$193
Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?Yes80075¢80¢$636+$38
Will Leif-Erik Holm be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?No645.398¢98¢$632+$1
Will Knight win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?Yes3K10¢14¢$422+$104
Over $5M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?Yes422.692¢100¢$421+$33
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?No1.1K43¢38¢$414-$63
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?No341.967¢100¢$342+$114
Will MOUZ Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026?Yes1.7K15¢19¢$331+$70
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?No231.698¢99¢$228+$1
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?No22597¢100¢$225+$8
Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?Yes840.97.7¢16¢$139+$74
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?No13673¢76¢$103+$3
Will Dana F. White Jr be the next White House Press Secretary?No10398¢99¢$102+$1
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?Yes843.69.0¢8.0¢$67-$8
Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes1.7K4.2¢2.2¢$38-$34
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?No23.874¢94¢$22+$5
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Yes229.16.0¢4.7¢$11-$3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Neither team to score first?Yes2.8K6.6¢0.0¢$0-$185
Texans vs. ChargersChargers91.7K15¢0.0¢$0-$14.1K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerT182.9K38¢0.0¢$0-$31.5K
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under1.7K30¢0.0¢$0-$518
Spread: Bears (-16.5)Bears7.9K44¢0.0¢$0-$3,474
Spread: Bears (-13.5)Bears7.5K50¢0.0¢$0-$3,748
Jets vs. ChiefsJets10.1K22¢0.0¢$0-$2,213
Spread: Bears (-17.5)Bears6.5K37¢0.0¢$0-$2,389
Michigan State vs. MichiganMichigan35.3K50¢0.0¢$0-$17.7K
Jazz vs. TimberwolvesJazz9.8K5.0¢0.0¢$0-$492
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: FC Schalke 04 O/U 0.5Under10.7K35¢0.0¢$0-$3,706
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to ScoreNo15.6K33¢0.0¢$0-$5,217
Spread: Bears (-9.5)Bears17K61¢0.0¢$0-$10.4K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming81.9K29¢0.0¢$0-$23.4K