Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
ActiveLiquidity $4,543·Volume $119.2K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes40%No60%
Smart money leans
Yes
39% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
87%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
39%price39%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$829 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$27
Smart money entered27¢39¢at 07:05(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$4,543
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $829 riding on it.
The price of 39% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 27¢; the price was 39¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $829 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$27 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Mid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $808 |
| 1w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $34 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $262 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $39 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $48 |
| 4w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 26¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 74¢ | $15 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $15 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $45 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $38 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $20 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $20 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $9 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $21 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $15 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $20 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $20 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $20 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $20 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $20 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $20 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $36 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $181 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $57 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $15 |
| 6w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 80¢ | $320 |
| 6w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $78 |
| 6w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $73 |
| 6w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $4 |
| 6w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $71 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $2 |
| 6w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $92 |
| 6w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $190 |