Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $2,977·Volume $607·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes18%No82%
Smart money leans
No
82% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
82%price82%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$396 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$410
72h +$410
Smart money entered79¢82¢at 02:26(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$2,977
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $396 riding on it.
The price of 82% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 79¢; the price was 82¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $396 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$410, +$410 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:26
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $396 |