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allen114

ProbationPolymarket
0x7cde9cc2fc1ff9556b5167aaaa6fc5b3ce0ab97d
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $33.9K
Quality score
0
Newas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
+$29.5K
PnL 90d
+$28.1K
ROI 90d
+14%
on $191.1K deployed
Entry edge
53%
11 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$455.9K
144 trades
Breadth 90d
35
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:04
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?No15.8K91¢89¢$14,076-$381
US recession by end of 2026?No12.4K80¢96¢$11,896+$1,949
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes35.1K65¢7.5¢$2,634-$20.0K
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?No2.1K86¢87¢$1,852+$10
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No1.6K87¢86¢$1,395-$24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?No1.4K65¢65¢$906+$7
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes26.5K55¢3.2¢$847-$13.8K
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes1.5K16¢18¢$263+$23
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No0.193¢2.0¢$0-$0
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes289.580¢0.0¢$0-$232
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No11.5K91¢0.0¢$0-$10.5K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?Yes1K71¢0.0¢$0-$710
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes3K49¢0.0¢$0-$1,470
Thunder vs. CelticsThunder2K57¢0.0¢$0-$1,140
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50K20¢0.0¢$0-$9,900
Trail Blazers vs. ClippersClippers4.9K66¢0.0¢$0-$3,250
76ers vs. Pelicans76ers17.6K73¢0.0¢$0-$12.9K
Bulls vs. NetsBulls3K63¢0.0¢$0-$1,890
Mavericks vs. CavaliersCavaliers16.3K92¢0.0¢$0-$14.9K
Spurs vs. 76ers76ers5K26¢0.0¢$0-$1,300
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs99020¢0.0¢$0-$198
Spurs vs. NuggetsSpurs18.3K67¢0.0¢$0-$12.2K
Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5Under1K49¢0.0¢$0-$490
Kings vs. RaptorsRaptors2.6K88¢0.0¢$0-$2,244
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes1.5K43¢0.0¢$0-$645
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?Up16.7K52¢0.0¢$0-$8,627
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No10.2K68¢0.0¢$0-$6,946
Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Under2.4K50¢0.0¢$0-$1,202
Knicks vs. CavaliersCavaliers25K56¢0.0¢$0-$14.0K
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Over1K52¢0.0¢$0-$520
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes2.1K95¢0.0¢$0-$2,026
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes2K78¢0.0¢$0-$1,560
Hawks vs. KnicksKnicks5.5K94¢0.0¢$0-$5,172
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28?No97.99.0¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?No164.641¢0.0¢$0-$67
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?No4.9K0.9¢0.0¢$0-$44
Trail Blazers vs. SpursTrail Blazers98241¢0.0¢$0-$400
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No10K71¢0.0¢$0-$7,140
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers6.8K50¢0.0¢$0-$3,395
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets2K56¢0.0¢$0-$1,100
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5Over2K75¢0.0¢$0-$1,500
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?Down1.4K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$35
Will BNB dip to $800 in January?No269.699¢0.0¢$0-$268
Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Over2K52¢0.0¢$0-$1,040
Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Under1K52¢0.0¢$0-$520
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1?Yes2K38¢0.0¢$0-$752
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes1.6K79¢0.0¢$0-$1,281
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5Over2K88¢0.0¢$0-$1,760
Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5Under3K52¢0.0¢$0-$1,560
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27?Down70032¢0.0¢$0-$224
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,040 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes1K4.5¢0.0¢$0-$45
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes3.3K6.5¢0.0¢$0-$211
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27?Up5K50¢0.0¢$0-$2,484
Grizzlies vs. NetsGrizzlies2.9K50¢0.0¢$0-$1,450
Suns vs. LakersSuns3K57¢0.0¢$0-$1,680
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No40066¢0.0¢$0-$264
Hornets vs. CelticsCeltics3K69¢0.0¢$0-$2,070
Timberwolves vs. CelticsCeltics11.5K79¢0.0¢$0-$9,074
Celtics vs. SpursCeltics2K44¢0.0¢$0-$879
Warriors vs. PelicansWarriors5K48¢0.0¢$0-$2,400
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Raptors2K51¢0.0¢$0-$1,000
Portugal to score first vs. Croatia?Yes2K68¢0.0¢$0-$1,360
Bucks vs. ThunderThunder5K82¢0.0¢$0-$4,100
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Yes30.6K2.3¢0.0¢$0-$715
Magic vs. CelticsMagic5K72¢0.0¢$0-$3,569
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?No5K20¢0.0¢$0-$1,000
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 21?No2K58¢0.0¢$0-$1,152
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?No1K26¢0.0¢$0-$260
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesNuggets10.6K78¢0.0¢$0-$8,318
Heat vs. PacersHeat15K78¢0.0¢$0-$11.7K
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons3K54¢0.0¢$0-$1,590
Magic vs. 76ersMagic9.8K48¢0.0¢$0-$4,700
Nets vs. ThunderNets10K9.0¢0.0¢$0-$900
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?Yes1K40¢0.0¢$0-$400
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Mavericks0.753¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?Yes676.650¢0.0¢$0-$338
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?Down127.114¢0.0¢$0-$18
Bulls vs. SunsSuns5K83¢0.0¢$0-$4,150
Kings vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Over1K49¢0.0¢$0-$490
Cavaliers vs. MagicCavaliers2K48¢0.0¢$0-$960
Thunder vs. PistonsThunder1K29¢0.0¢$0-$290
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons2.1K49¢0.0¢$0-$1,025
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?No15K70¢0.0¢$0-$10.5K
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt41.1K85¢0.0¢$0-$34.8K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No6.6K68¢0.0¢$0-$4,501
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 10?No1K58¢0.0¢$0-$580
76ers vs. Pistons76ers2K12¢0.0¢$0-$238
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5Under3K54¢0.0¢$0-$1,620
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5Over3K54¢0.0¢$0-$1,620
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5Under506.369¢0.0¢$0-$349
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Under2.2K48¢0.0¢$0-$1,034
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Over4.8K82¢0.0¢$0-$3,942
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?No57041¢0.0¢$0-$233
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?Yes2.5K10¢0.0¢$0-$250
Knicks vs. ClippersKnicks2K55¢0.0¢$0-$1,100
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18?Yes6.6K32¢0.0¢$0-$2,126
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?No18.2K67¢0.0¢$0-$12.2K
Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 9?No3K84¢0.0¢$0-$2,484
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 4?Yes6K55¢0.0¢$0-$3,281
Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?No175.164¢0.0¢$0-$112
Knicks vs. SpursSpurs15K66¢0.0¢$0-$9,900
Celtics vs. NuggetsCeltics5K41¢0.0¢$0-$2,050
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on February 7?No3K50¢0.0¢$0-$1,500
Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over1K51¢0.0¢$0-$510
Fed rate hike in 2026?No10K67¢0.0¢$0-$6,700
Bucks vs. NetsBucks1.5K57¢0.0¢$0-$840
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Under50050¢0.0¢$0-$250
Hornets vs. MagicHornets19.8K62¢0.0¢$0-$12.3K
Heat vs. BucksHeat10K69¢0.0¢$0-$6,900
76ers vs. CelticsCeltics178.3K89¢0.0¢$0-$158.7K
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 3?No3K40¢0.0¢$0-$1,200