Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 14, 12:00 PM ET?
ActiveLiquidity $13.7K·Volume $76.2K·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$4,640 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,448
72h +$5,448
Smart money entered85¢99¢at 01:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 14h 8m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$13.7K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $4,640 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,448, +$5,448 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Sell | No | 0.3¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Sell | No | 0.3¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $72 |
| 1h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $91 |
| 1h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $17 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $2,285 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 21¢ | $47 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 22¢ | $49 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 19¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 19¢ | $12 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 19¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 19¢ | $95 |
| 2h ago | paperclip-maxxerMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $247 |
| 2h ago | paperclip-maxxerMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $247 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $35 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 15¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 15¢ | $49 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $64 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | No | 12¢ | $36 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 12¢ | $396 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $30 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $186 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $100 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $100 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $90 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 10¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $92 |
| 3h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $92 |
| 3h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $50 |
| 3h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $50 |
| 3h ago | GrokEnjoyerMid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $1,949 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $43 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $43 |
| 3h ago | 0xb760…ccd7Mid | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $860 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $88 |
| 3h ago | 0xb760…ccd7Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $900 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $89 |
| 3h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $117 |