| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.8K | 34¢ | 58¢ | $2,213 | +$916 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 40.1K | 20¢ | 5.5¢ | $2,204 | -$5,700 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10K | 11¢ | 17¢ | $1,735 | +$589 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 3.2K | 42¢ | 45¢ | $1,445 | +$96 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 4.4K | 34¢ | 19¢ | $822 | -$697 |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 15.3K | 20¢ | 3.8¢ | $581 | -$2,552 |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.6K | 33¢ | 12¢ | $434 | -$750 |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.1K | 16¢ | 12¢ | $367 | -$133 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 3.6K | 34¢ | 8.4¢ | $303 | -$919 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.5K | 14¢ | 9.4¢ | $236 | -$109 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.5K | 15¢ | 2.6¢ | $196 | -$960 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 1.4K | 22¢ | 9.5¢ | $135 | -$177 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026? | No | 14 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | No | 215.7 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$136 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 17.6K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,756 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | Yes | 4.9K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$893 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 20K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,931 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1.4K | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$525 |
| Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | No | 400 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$147 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | Yes | 741.2 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$428 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | Up | 19.2 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Down | 286.1 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$100 |
| Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | No | 1.8K | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$684 |
| Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | Yes | 3K | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$270 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 2.8K | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$160 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | No | 14K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,145 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026? | Yes | 591.1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$77 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | Yes | 34K | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,693 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026? | Yes | 2.2K | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$560 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | No | 16.8 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.6K | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$661 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | Yes | 4.9K | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$103 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026? | Yes | 5K | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$450 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.8K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$23 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 33.5K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,487 |