Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $2,429·Volume $24.6K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes48%No53%
Smart money leans
No
62% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
62%price62%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,372 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$401
72h +$396
Smart money entered34¢62¢at 07:44(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy18h agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$2,429
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,372 riding on it.
The price of 62% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 34¢; the price was 62¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,372 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$401, +$396 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:44
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $172 |
| 18h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $172 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 33¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 33¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 33¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 33¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 33¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 33¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 41¢ | $66 |
| 5d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $59 |
| 6d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $5 |
| 6d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 22¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 28¢ | $280 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $25 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $35 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $21 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $188 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $234 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $11 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $47 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $17 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $14 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $43 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $13 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 49¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 49¢ | $35 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 49¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 49¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 40¢ | $136 |
| 4w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 40¢ | $8 |
| 4w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 40¢ | $8 |
| 4w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 40¢ | $2 |