Shady-Tool

ProbationPolymarket

0xcbab47f889ffffbb603f600a5feeb0eca0cc9a8a

Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $6,186

Quality score

0

Newas of Nov 9, 2026

PnL 30d

+$1,946

PnL 90d

+$2,880

ROI 90d

+1%

on $274.3K deployed

Entry edge

51%

47 resolved markets

Volume 90d

$865.0K

2170 trades

Breadth 90d

94

distinct markets

Quality score — 90 days

Delayed 1h · as of 12:52

Market	Outcome	Size	Avg price	Current	Value	PnL
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	5.6K	41¢	45¢	$2,526	+$237
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	2.7K	83¢	92¢	$2,454	+$222
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	652.7	50¢	82¢	$538	+$212
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	7.8K	7.8¢	5.5¢	$424	-$183
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	652.7	50¢	18¢	$115	-$212
Will Peggy Flanagan run ahead of Amy Klobuchar?	No	56	88¢	99¢	$55	+$6
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	500	29¢	8.2¢	$41	-$104
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 18% or more?	No	30.8	90¢	100¢	$31	+$3
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?	Yes	2.6	62¢	93¢	$2	+$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	27K	91¢	0.0¢	$0	-$24.5K
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Yes	0.2	32¢	0.0¢	$0	-$0
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	950	43¢	0.0¢	$0	-$409
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	3.5K	21¢	0.0¢	$0	-$730
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?	Yes	60	14¢	0.0¢	$0	-$8
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	9.7K	20¢	0.0¢	$0	-$1,947
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?	No	96K	81¢	0.0¢	$0	-$77.8K
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	17.4K	10¢	0.0¢	$0	-$1,780
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	665.3	6.2¢	0.0¢	$0	-$41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	19.8K	26¢	0.0¢	$0	-$5,133
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?	Yes	575.7	95¢	0.0¢	$0	-$547
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?	No	68.8	92¢	0.0¢	$0	-$63
Will Atlanta Braves advance to the NLCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?	Yes	5	22¢	0.0¢	$0	-$1
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Tampa Bay Rays	194.6	41¢	0.0¢	$0	-$80
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	173.6	58¢	0.0¢	$0	-$101
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	188	37¢	0.0¢	$0	-$70
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	10K	0.9¢	0.0¢	$0	-$87