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VerilyWinningly

ProbationPolymarket
0x6276ea490d6ca3a539f1d571a89d53d26e9f9db5
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $127
Quality score
0
Newas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
-$3,115
PnL 90d
-$2,915
ROI 90d
-2%
on $127.2K deployed
Entry edge
49%
193 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$461.2K
10549 trades
Breadth 90d
1477
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:03
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will the Republicans win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election?No6840¢36¢$24-$3
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?No109.529¢14¢$15-$17
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes12.2K3.3¢0.0¢$6-$402
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?No4214¢13¢$5-$0
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?No446¢97¢$4+$2
Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes6.4K1.7¢0.0¢$3-$106
Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes6.4K1.7¢0.0¢$3-$106
Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes6.4K1.7¢0.0¢$3-$106
Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes6.4K1.7¢0.0¢$3-$106
Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes6.4K1.7¢0.0¢$3-$106
Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes6.4K1.7¢0.0¢$3-$106
Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes6.4K1.7¢0.0¢$3-$106
Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4.3K1.7¢0.0¢$2-$72
Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes3.1K1.7¢0.0¢$2-$52
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?No1.761¢92¢$2+$1
Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3K3.4¢0.0¢$1-$101
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3K3.4¢0.0¢$1-$101
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?No1.575¢98¢$1+$0
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?No1.39.0¢96¢$1+$1
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes850.61.7¢0.1¢$1-$13
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?No254¢58¢$1+$0
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes1.7K3.4¢0.0¢$1-$58
Will Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes2.93.3¢28¢$1+$1
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5191.8¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5191.8¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes1.5K3.4¢0.1¢$1-$52
Will Huang Kuo-chang win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes1.4K3.3¢0.0¢$1-$45
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?No417¢16¢$1-$0
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1.2K2.8¢0.0¢$1-$34
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1.2K2.8¢0.0¢$1-$34
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1.2K2.8¢0.0¢$1-$34
Will the Republicans win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election?No0.669¢87¢$1+$0
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes1K3.7¢0.0¢$1-$38
Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1K1.7¢0.0¢$1-$17
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes450.220¢0.1¢$0-$90
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes850.61.7¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Juanma Moreno be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes850.61.7¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Félix Bolaños be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes850.61.7¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Emiliano García-Page be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes850.61.7¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes850.61.7¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Salvador Illa be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes850.61.7¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Jessica Faircloth win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes837.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes772.72.8¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes708.82.5¢0.0¢$0-$17
Will Meta have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes393.3¢0.9¢$0-$1
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes5020¢0.7¢$0-$10
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes59817¢0.1¢$0-$99
Will Yang Chiung-ying win the next Taichung Mayor election?Yes576.53.3¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes573.72.5¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes533.617¢0.0¢$0-$89
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5191.8¢0.1¢$0-$9
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5191.8¢0.1¢$0-$9
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5191.8¢0.1¢$0-$9
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5191.8¢0.1¢$0-$9
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5191.8¢0.1¢$0-$9
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5191.8¢0.1¢$0-$9
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5191.8¢0.1¢$0-$9
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes4732.8¢0.1¢$0-$13
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes4732.8¢0.1¢$0-$13
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes4732.8¢0.1¢$0-$13
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes444.41.8¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will Z.ai have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes393.3¢0.5¢$0-$1
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes397.33.6¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes397.33.6¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes397.33.6¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes397.33.6¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes397.33.6¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes397.33.6¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes397.33.6¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes397.33.6¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes397.33.6¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes397.33.6¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes397.33.6¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will DeepSeek have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes393.3¢0.5¢$0-$1
Will SpaceXAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes393.3¢0.5¢$0-$1
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3783.4¢0.1¢$0-$13
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?Yes124.917¢0.1¢$0-$21
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes372.71.8¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will John Rustad be the next Premier of British Columbia?Yes358.93.0¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the #2 song for 2026?Yes89.11.5¢0.2¢$0-$1
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes5020¢0.4¢$0-$10
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes3374.0¢0.1¢$0-$13
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes3374.0¢0.1¢$0-$13
Will TSMC be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes3374.0¢0.1¢$0-$13
Will Meta be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes3374.0¢0.1¢$0-$13
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes3374.0¢0.1¢$0-$13
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes3374.0¢0.1¢$0-$13
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes3374.0¢0.1¢$0-$13
Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes3283.0¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will Podemos win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes3283.0¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes393.3¢0.4¢$0-$1
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes30120¢0.1¢$0-$60
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes30120¢0.1¢$0-$60
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Yes4211¢0.4¢$0-$5
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?Yes4211¢0.4¢$0-$5
Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes2583.0¢0.1¢$0-$8
Will Green Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes2583.0¢0.1¢$0-$8
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes234.72.8¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes2020¢0.5¢$0-$4
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Yes16.720¢0.6¢$0-$3
Will Te Pāti Māori win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes2083.0¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will ACT New Zealand win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes2083.0¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes201.92.5¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes201.92.5¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Chang Ching win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes199.53.0¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will Chiu Yi-ying win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes199.53.0¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will Lin Tai-hua win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes199.53.0¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will Hsu Chih-chieh win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes199.53.0¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?Yes1908.3¢0.1¢$0-$16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes1908.3¢0.1¢$0-$16
Will The Bride! get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes189.54.5¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will The Social Reckoning get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes189.54.5¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will Wuthering Heights get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes189.54.5¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Yes1852.9¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Apolonija Simon win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Yes1852.9¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Yes1852.9¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Gregor Novak win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Yes1852.9¢0.1¢$0-$5
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Yes14.120¢0.6¢$0-$3
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes168.33.6¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%?Yes4111¢0.2¢$0-$4
Will Lin Szu-ming win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Yes1623.2¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Chen Chien-hsien win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Yes1623.2¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Espanyol win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Getafe win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Osasuna win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Real Sociedad win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Valencia win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Levante win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Racing Santander win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Deportivo La Coruña win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Málaga win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Team C win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1514.2¢0.1¢$0-$6
Will Chlöe Swarbrick be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes142.32.9¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will David Seymour be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes142.32.9¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Carmel Sepuloni be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes142.32.9¢0.0¢$0-$4
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting?Yes14.120¢0.5¢$0-$3
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes1403.6¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026?Yes124.917¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?Yes124.917¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Japan's core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?Yes124.917¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 3.0%?Yes4111¢0.1¢$0-$4
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%?Yes4111¢0.1¢$0-$4
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes4111¢0.1¢$0-$4
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes34.520¢0.1¢$0-$7
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes24.65.0¢0.2¢$0-$1
Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes94.32.9¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes30.83.6¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song for 2026?Yes89.11.5¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Billie Jean – Michael Jackson be the #2 song for 2026?Yes89.11.5¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo be the #2 song for 2026?Yes89.11.5¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the #2 song for 2026?Yes89.11.5¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the #2 song for 2026?Yes89.11.5¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will "stupid song – Olivia Rodrigo" be the #2 song for 2026?Yes89.11.5¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Swim – BTS be the #2 song for 2026?Yes89.11.5¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the #2 song for 2026?Yes89.11.5¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the #2 song for 2026?Yes89.11.5¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy be the #2 song for 2026?Yes89.11.5¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes87.32.9¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes87.32.9¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes87.32.9¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes87.32.9¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes87.32.9¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes87.32.9¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes87.32.9¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes87.32.9¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes87.32.9¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes87.32.9¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes87.32.9¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes79.32.2¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Lady Gaga have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes24.65.0¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes2020¢0.1¢$0-$4
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?No1.119¢2.7¢$0-$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?No115¢2.8¢$0-$0
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes551.6¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes551.6¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes551.6¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes551.6¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Mark Kelly be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes551.6¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes523.4¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Meta be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes523.4¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will TSMC be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes523.4¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes523.4¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes523.4¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes523.4¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes523.4¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Ho Chih-yung win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Yes503.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?Yes16.720¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?Yes16.720¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?Yes4211¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 3.4%?Yes4211¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.7%?Yes4211¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be at least 5.5%?Yes4211¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be at least 7.0%?Yes4111¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes4111¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3.0% and 4.0%?Yes4111¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes2020¢0.1¢$0-$4
Will Poolside have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes393.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will MiniMax have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes393.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Tencent have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes393.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Mistral have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes393.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will ByteDance have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes393.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Thinky have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes32.33.3¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes30.83.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of November 2026?Yes5.111¢0.3¢$0-$1
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026?Yes102.2¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?Yes102.2¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026?Yes102.2¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026?Yes102.2¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026?Yes102.2¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes25.23.7¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes24.65.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Justin Bieber have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes24.65.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Billie Eilish have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes24.65.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Drake have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes24.65.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes24.65.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Shakira have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes24.65.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Ed Sheeran have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes24.65.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Coldplay have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes24.65.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Michael Jackson have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes24.65.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Ariana Grande have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes24.65.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Podemos win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes202.8¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will August be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?Yes1925¢0.1¢$0-$5
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting?Yes14.120¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the top song for 2026?Yes12.81.6¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Poolside be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes12.93.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Chappell Roan be the top artist for 2026?Yes102.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $700B and $800B at the end of November 2026?Yes5.111¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $600B and $700B at the end of November 2026?Yes5.111¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will "Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes1.35.9¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will "Black Doves: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes1.35.9¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will "Love Is Blind: S11: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes1.35.9¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will "From: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes1.35.9¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will "The Fall of El Mayo: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes1.35.9¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the top song for 2026?Yes0.61.6¢0.0¢$0-$0