| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.5K | 19¢ | 2.6¢ | $168 | -$1,060 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.8K | 4.9¢ | 2.0¢ | $117 | -$171 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 2.8K | 15¢ | 1.8¢ | $50 | -$364 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | No | 40.8 | 48¢ | 67¢ | $27 | +$8 |
| Will Green Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 23.4K | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $12 | -$8 |
| Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 23.4K | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $12 | -$8 |
| Will Te Pāti Māori win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 23.4K | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $12 | -$8 |
| Will ACT New Zealand win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 23.4K | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $12 | -$8 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina | Elena Rybakina | 4K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$720 |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | Iron Wing | 6.7K | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,782 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs | Team Liquid | 10.2K | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,550 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | Legacy | 5.7K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,303 |
| 49ers vs. Raiders | Raiders | 4K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,020 |
| UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card) | Nursulton Ruziboev | 1.5K | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$525 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.5K | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$82 |
| Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 7.1K | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$114 |
| Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 7.1K | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$114 |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 6.3K | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,605 |
| Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 7.1K | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$114 |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 7.1K | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$114 |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | No | 34.8 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | No | 5.3K | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,009 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | Yes | 13.5K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,480 |
| Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1.4K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$148 |
| Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? | No | 17.8K | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,449 |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 11.2K | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$566 |
| Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 7.6K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Joe Wilson be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 7.6K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 7.6K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Paul Dans be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 7.6K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will William Timmons be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 7.6K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 7.6K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Sheri Biggs be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 7.6K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 7.6K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will André Bauer be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 7.6K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Alan Wilson be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 7.6K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Scott Bessent be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 7.6K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 7.6K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 7.6K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 5.4K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$611 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 9.2K | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$494 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 114 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | No | 18.3K | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$548 |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes? | Yes | 5.5K | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$177 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 3K | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$906 |
| Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | Yes | 4.8K | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,146 |
| Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | No | 8.5K | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$380 |
| Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 20.7K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,969 |
| Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 186.5 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$73 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 12.1K | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$181 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 29K | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11.0K |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 12.1K | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$181 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1.9K | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$541 |
| Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 12.1K | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$181 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 12.1K | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$181 |
| Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 12.1K | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$181 |
| Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 12.1K | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$181 |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 11.2K | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$648 |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.1K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$776 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5.9K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$110 |
| Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15.4K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$287 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 16K | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7,440 |
| Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15.4K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$287 |
| Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15.4K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$287 |
| Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15.4K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$287 |
| Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15.4K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$287 |
| Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15.4K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$287 |
| Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15.4K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$287 |
| Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15.4K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$287 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 17.4K | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$178 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | Yes | 17.7K | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | Yes | 7K | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%? | Yes | 459.6 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$60 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%? | Yes | 3.2K | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | Yes | 3.4K | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$227 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 8K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,020 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 900 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$81 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | No | 1.8K | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$84 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 2.2K | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$22 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | T1 | 2K | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$102 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | Yes | 6.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$190 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.9K | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,347 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | Yes | 2K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$225 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.7K | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$257 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | Yes | 1K | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$73 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 6.5K | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$283 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | Los Angeles Dodgers | 5K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$500 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.2K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |