| Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? | No | 36 | 79¢ | 79¢ | $28 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | No | 15 | 66¢ | 65¢ | $10 | -$0 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 4.8 | 96¢ | 97¢ | $5 | +$0 |
| Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$91 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | No | 10 | 16¢ | 9.0¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will PP win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 1.4 | 29¢ | 29¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 410.5 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Huang Kuo-chang win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 718.9 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$24 |
| Will Ricardo Estigarribia win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election? | No | 0.5 | 83¢ | 73¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Perng Shaw-jiin win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? | Yes | 577 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 536.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 536.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 536.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 536.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 536.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 536.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Salvador Illa be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 536.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Emiliano García-Page be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 536.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Félix Bolaños be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 536.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Juanma Moreno be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 536.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 536.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 536.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 536.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 536.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 536.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October? | No | 0.3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October? | No | 0.3 | 99¢ | 97¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election? | No | 0.5 | 50¢ | 50¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 435.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 410.5 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 410.5 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 410.5 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 410.5 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 410.5 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | No | 0.3 | 63¢ | 59¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Yang Chiung-ying win the next Taichung Mayor election? | Yes | 377.1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$12 |
| Will Carmel Sepuloni be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 341.3 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Chlöe Swarbrick be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 341.3 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will David Seymour be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 341.3 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Winston Peters be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 341.3 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 85.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 330.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 330.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 330.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 330.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 330.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 330.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 330.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 330.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 330.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 330.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 330.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 330.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 330.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 330.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? | No | 0.7 | 21¢ | 20¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will PSOE win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 38.7 | 2.8¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 70.2 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Podemos win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 189 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 189 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 53.6 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 53.6 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 5 | 3.6¢ | 1.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Avery Anna win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | Yes | 10 | 3.1¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Green Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 117.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will ACT New Zealand win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 117.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 117.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Te Pāti Māori win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 117.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 0.8 | 1.7¢ | 7.2¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 21 | 3.0¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 81.8 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Lin Tai-hua win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 77.8 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Hsu Chih-chieh win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 77.8 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Chang Ching win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 77.8 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Chiu Yi-ying win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 77.8 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 72 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 72 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 72 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 72 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 72 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 72 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 72 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 72 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 72 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 72 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 72 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 72 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 70 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 70 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 70 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 70 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 70 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Boris Rhein be the next President of Germany? | Yes | 9.6 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer be the next President of Germany? | Yes | 9.6 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 64 | 14¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 64 | 14¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 64 | 14¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 64 | 14¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 63.5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 63.5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 63.5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 63.5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 63.5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 63.5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 63.5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 63.5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 63.5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 20 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Podemos win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 59.2 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 59.2 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 19 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 19 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 19 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 19 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 53.6 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will PP win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 51.5 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 4.0¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ho Chih-yung win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election? | Yes | 48.8 | 3.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Udo Di Fabio be the next President of Germany? | Yes | 9.6 | 2.9¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.3 | 5.0¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 30.4 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 30.4 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 4.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Angela Merkel be the next President of Germany? | Yes | 9.6 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Lady Gaga have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.3 | 5.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Lin Szu-ming win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | Yes | 21 | 3.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Chen Chien-hsien win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | Yes | 21 | 3.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Anduril have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 20.1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 20 | 17¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Te Pāti Māori win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 20 | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Labour Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 20 | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 20 | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 20 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 20 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 20 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 20 | 17¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will ByteDance have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 20.1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Canva have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 20.1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Databricks have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 20.1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Neuralink have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 20.1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 20.1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Revolut have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 20.1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Stripe have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 20.1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 19 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 19 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 19 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 19 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 19 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 19 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 19 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 19 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 19 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Alberto Martínez Simón win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election? | Yes | 6 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Yolanda Paredes win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election? | Yes | 6 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Luis Pettengill win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election? | Yes | 6 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Lilian Samaniego win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election? | Yes | 6 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | Yes | 5 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | Yes | 5 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 0.2 | 3.8¢ | 3.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October? | Yes | 11 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October? | Yes | 11 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.1% in October? | Yes | 11 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October? | Yes | 11 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in October? | Yes | 11 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 4.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 4.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 4.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 4.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Te Pāti Māori win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 10 | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 10 | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will ACT New Zealand win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 10 | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 10 | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 10 | 3.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 10 | 3.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 4.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | Yes | 5 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will TSMC be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 4.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Meta be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 4.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Coldplay have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Billie Eilish have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ariana Grande have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Drake have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ed Sheeran have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Shakira have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Justin Bieber have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Michael Jackson have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 0.2 | 11¢ | 2.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%? | Yes | 2 | 11¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 3.0%? | Yes | 2 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 2 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%? | Yes | 2 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be at least 7.0%? | Yes | 2 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | Yes | 2 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3.0% and 4.0%? | Yes | 2 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |