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ProbationPolymarket
0x0224bb9eb0a5c9fd261ac9123a72cbdd5748292a
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $111.4K
Quality score
0
Newas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
-$257.1K
PnL 90d
-$353.5K
ROI 90d
-7%
on $4.8M deployed
Entry edge
49%
248 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$8.9M
8894 trades
Breadth 90d
486
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:09
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No84K82¢96¢$80,560+$11.6K
Iran Nuke before 2027?No19.7K94¢97¢$19,217+$587
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No6.9K50¢99¢$6,836+$3,375
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2.5K74¢92¢$2,323+$456
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No2.1K93¢98¢$2,034+$103
Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?Yes610.377¢76¢$461-$8
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No5100¢100¢$5$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No0.396¢99¢$0+$0
Patriots vs. BearsPatriots20K33¢0.0¢$0-$6,600
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Under21K54¢0.0¢$0-$11.2K
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5Over21.6K54¢0.0¢$0-$11.6K
Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5Under20K50¢0.0¢$0-$10.0K
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 WinnerTLN Pirates11K52¢0.0¢$0-$5,691
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming18.1K79¢0.0¢$0-$14.2K
Spread: Browns (-2.5)Titans9.3K51¢0.0¢$0-$4,739
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere45K27¢0.0¢$0-$12.0K
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Nuggets20K52¢0.0¢$0-$10.4K
LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageLOS100K36¢0.0¢$0-$36.0K
LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales54K63¢0.0¢$0-$34.0K
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerCupid Esports3.2K17¢0.0¢$0-$535
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)LGD Gaming10K35¢0.0¢$0-$3,500
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 WinnerFURIA Esports62.1K27¢0.0¢$0-$16.9K
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE11.1K40¢0.0¢$0-$4,455
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX43.2K65¢0.0¢$0-$28.2K
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 WinnerTeam WE26K49¢0.0¢$0-$12.8K
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)Invictus Gaming8.2K63¢0.0¢$0-$5,182
Sabres vs. KingsKings20K45¢0.0¢$0-$9,000
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 WinnerGAM Esports16.6K24¢0.0¢$0-$4,048
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team29.4K41¢0.0¢$0-$12.1K
LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group StageTeam Liquid29.2K70¢0.0¢$0-$20.3K
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 4 WinnerKT Rolster15K52¢0.0¢$0-$7,800
Grizzlies vs. JazzJazz25K51¢0.0¢$0-$12.9K
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports82.7K30¢0.0¢$0-$24.5K
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsFURIA Esports6.8K47¢0.0¢$0-$3,213
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerT1247.5K50¢0.0¢$0-$122.5K
LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 2 WinnerRED Canids20.1K31¢0.0¢$0-$6,304
Browns vs. TitansTitans10K45¢0.0¢$0-$4,500
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageLYON5K32¢0.0¢$0-$1,580
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerGen.G14.6K40¢0.0¢$0-$5,783
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 WinnerG2 NORD1.7K45¢0.0¢$0-$762
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI282.339¢0.0¢$0-$110
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerM804.7K22¢0.0¢$0-$1,042
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerT1100K48¢0.0¢$0-$48.0K
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)Florida State31.348¢0.0¢$0-$15
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No11.4K36¢0.0¢$0-$4,098
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageTop Esports94.2K19¢0.0¢$0-$18.3K
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming33.7K28¢0.0¢$0-$9,611
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports47.6K57¢0.0¢$0-$27.1K
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over20K49¢0.0¢$0-$9,800
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 WinnerAstra Invicta56K29¢0.0¢$0-$16.0K
Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under16K43¢0.0¢$0-$6,880
Spread: South Carolina (-2.5)Tennessee21.4K50¢0.0¢$0-$10.7K
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI72.5K42¢0.0¢$0-$30.5K
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 3 WinnerKT Rolster11K59¢0.0¢$0-$6,502
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 4 WinnerTeam WE14.5K48¢0.0¢$0-$6,999
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp16.6K61¢0.0¢$0-$10.0K
Spread: Jacksonville State (-3.5)New Mexico State22K54¢0.0¢$0-$11.9K
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerGAM Esports7K35¢0.0¢$0-$2,450
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group StageAnyone's Legend48.2K57¢0.0¢$0-$27.4K
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming2K22¢0.0¢$0-$440
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageKarmine Corp83.6K26¢0.0¢$0-$21.9K
Delaware State vs. Norfolk StateNorfolk State1.2K45¢0.0¢$0-$538
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 WinnerGAM Esports13.3K32¢0.0¢$0-$4,297
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group StageTeam Secret Whales50.2K39¢0.0¢$0-$19.5K
CA Paranaense vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Under11K37¢0.0¢$0-$4,047
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA50.1K49¢0.0¢$0-$24.4K
Dota 2: Chandogs vs Hokori - Game 1 WinnerHokori16.4K48¢0.0¢$0-$7,917
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 WinnerCloud927K71¢0.0¢$0-$19.2K
Cowboys Team Total: O/U 30.5Over6K47¢0.0¢$0-$2,820
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports64.8K32¢0.0¢$0-$20.6K
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerT1100K70¢0.0¢$0-$70.5K
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 1 WinnerFURIA Esports9K25¢0.0¢$0-$2,227
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming84.7K57¢0.0¢$0-$48.1K
Spread: Grizzlies (-9.5)Kings12K53¢0.0¢$0-$6,349
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Kings10K50¢0.0¢$0-$5,000
Spread: Penn State (-8.5)Purdue510.443¢0.0¢$0-$219
Ole Miss vs. TexasOle Miss45.8K6.0¢0.0¢$0-$2,747
Spread: Commanders (-3.5)Eagles7K43¢0.0¢$0-$3,013
Spread: Hawai'i (-2.5)Hawai'i10K49¢0.0¢$0-$4,900
Spread: Jets (-4.5)Jets4.9K49¢0.0¢$0-$2,415
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Clippers20K50¢0.0¢$0-$10.0K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)Bulls27.3K47¢0.0¢$0-$12.8K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Bucks20K51¢0.0¢$0-$10.2K
Lightning vs. PredatorsLightning4K61¢0.0¢$0-$2,440
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBilibili Gaming35.2K64¢0.0¢$0-$22.5K
Eagles vs. CommandersEagles68K30¢0.0¢$0-$20.4K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes16.4K74¢0.0¢$0-$12.2K
Sabres vs. DucksDucks16K43¢0.0¢$0-$6,840
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Kalmychata - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers2.5K50¢0.0¢$0-$1,246
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 PlayoffsBIG23K57¢0.0¢$0-$13.1K
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageAnyone's Legend31.6K14¢0.0¢$0-$4,522
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerGAM Esports7K27¢0.0¢$0-$1,890
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsBetBoom Team34K38¢0.0¢$0-$12.8K
Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs Skyreavers - Game 1 WinnerSkyreavers885.553¢0.0¢$0-$469
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster155K11¢0.0¢$0-$16.6K
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 WinnerCloud933K61¢0.0¢$0-$20.3K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes389.5K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$3,116
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group StageTeam Liquid101.8K73¢0.0¢$0-$73.9K
Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5)Pittsburgh19K51¢0.0¢$0-$9,690
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 WinnerFURIA Esports11K55¢0.0¢$0-$6,050
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 WinnerTop Esports79.2K47¢0.0¢$0-$37.0K
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerFlyQuest47.9K73¢0.0¢$0-$34.8K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1253.9K52¢0.0¢$0-$133.0K
LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group StageLOS30.4K9.7¢0.0¢$0-$2,948
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under899.850¢0.0¢$0-$450
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion8K33¢0.0¢$0-$2,640