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Will Madison Huang be the next CEO of NVIDIA?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $18·Volume $0·Ends Jan 1, 2029
Price now:Yes1%No99%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:33computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$636 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$519
72h +$1,002
Smart money entered97¢98¢at 05:33(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy20h agoResolvesin 780d(Jan 1, 2029)Liquidity$18
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $636 riding on it.

The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $636 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$519, +$1,002 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:33
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
12h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo99¢$120
13h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo99¢$42
13h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo99¢$36
15h ago0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495MidSellYes2.9¢$1
18h agoSlenderManMidSellYes2.9¢$11
19h agoSlenderManMidSellYes2.9¢$17
19h agoSlenderManMidSellYes2.9¢$6
20h ago0x1e3a…9e14MidBuyNo97¢$353
20h agoSlenderManMidSellYes2.9¢$48
20h ago0x1e3a…9e14MidBuyNo97¢$353
1d ago0x1e3a…9e14MidBuyNo97¢$167
1d ago0x1e3a…9e14MidBuyNo97¢$115
1d ago0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495MidBuyNo97¢$150
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes13¢$59
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes13¢$65
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes13¢$7
1d agoSlenderManMidSellYes18¢$3
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes15¢$2
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes15¢$53
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes15¢$10
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes18¢$140
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes15¢$7
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes15¢$15
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes15¢$8
1d agoSlenderManMidSellYes19¢$3
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes18¢$4
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes19¢$1
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes19¢$4
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes19¢$4
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes19¢$18
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes19¢$4
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes19¢$50
1d agoSlenderManMidBuyYes19¢$4
1d agoTenebrus7MidBuyNo91¢$55
1d agoTenebrus7MidBuyNo91¢$20
1d agoTenebrus7MidBuyNo91¢$80
1d agoTenebrus7MidBuyNo91¢$27