UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
ActiveLiquidity $10.5K·Volume $41·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Luis Gurule100%Bilal Hasan0%
Smart money leans
Luis Gurule
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$29.5K
72h +$29.5K
Smart money entered90¢100¢at 07:32Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$10.5K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Luis Gurule", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$29.5K, +$29.5K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:32
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | 0xb3f3…3426Mid | Sell | Luis Gurule | 100¢ | $853 |
| 5h ago | looppauMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 100¢ | $737 |
| 5h ago | looppauMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 100¢ | $10 |
| 5h ago | looppauMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 100¢ | $499 |
| 5h ago | looppauMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 100¢ | $851 |
| 5h ago | looppauMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 100¢ | $9 |
| 5h ago | looppauMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 100¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | looppauMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 100¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | looppauMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 100¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | looppauMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 100¢ | $21 |
| 5h ago | looppauMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 100¢ | $23 |
| 5h ago | looppauMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 100¢ | $329 |
| 5h ago | 0xb3f3…3426Mid | Buy | Bilal Hasan | 21¢ | $62 |
| 5h ago | 0x9f66…3a50Mid | Sell | Luis Gurule | 82¢ | $283 |
| 5h ago | 0x9f66…3a50Mid | Sell | Luis Gurule | 82¢ | $283 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 84¢ | $356 |
| 5h ago | 0xb3f3…3426Mid | Buy | Bilal Hasan | 14¢ | $25 |
| 5h ago | 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540Mid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 90¢ | $18 |
| 5h ago | 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540Mid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 90¢ | $355 |
| 5h ago | 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540Mid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 90¢ | $180 |
| 5h ago | 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540Mid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 88¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540Mid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 88¢ | $44 |
| 5h ago | 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540Mid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 88¢ | $44 |
| 5h ago | 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540Mid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 88¢ | $12 |
| 5h ago | 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540Mid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 90¢ | $45 |
| 5h ago | 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540Mid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 90¢ | $45 |
| 5h ago | 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540Mid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 90¢ | $18 |
| 5h ago | 0xb3f3…3426Mid | Buy | Bilal Hasan | 17¢ | $73 |
| 5h ago | frohp5Mid | Buy | Bilal Hasan | 13¢ | $500 |
| 5h ago | frohp5Mid | Buy | Bilal Hasan | 13¢ | $500 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 90¢ | $2,245 |
| 5h ago | 0xb3f3…3426Mid | Buy | Bilal Hasan | 13¢ | $52 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 90¢ | $2,245 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 90¢ | $2,948 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 90¢ | $2,948 |
| 5h ago | frohp5Mid | Sell | Luis Gurule | 88¢ | $2,524 |
| 5h ago | frohp5Mid | Sell | Luis Gurule | 88¢ | $2,524 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 90¢ | $1,340 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 90¢ | $1,340 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 92¢ | $18 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 92¢ | $110 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 92¢ | $92 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 92¢ | $138 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 92¢ | $138 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 92¢ | $138 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 92¢ | $110 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 92¢ | $110 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 92¢ | $110 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 92¢ | $138 |
| 5h ago | arjennnnnMid | Buy | Luis Gurule | 92¢ | $4,462 |