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UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $7,489·Volume $160·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Cesar Almeida100%Donte Johnson0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:57computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Cesar Almeida
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$9,344
72h -$952
Smart money entered33¢100¢at 07:57(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy8h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$7,489
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Cesar Almeida", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 33¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$9,344, -$952 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:57
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
8h ago0xb3f3…3426MidSellCesar Almeida100¢$1,374
8h ago0xb3f3…3426MidBuyCesar Almeida43¢$206
8h ago0xb3f3…3426MidBuyCesar Almeida33¢$310
8h agofrohp5MidBuyCesar Almeida33¢$1,400
8h agofrohp5MidBuyCesar Almeida33¢$1,400
8h ago0x9f66…3a50MidBuyCesar Almeida32¢$40
8h ago0x9f66…3a50MidBuyCesar Almeida32¢$40
8h ago0x9f66…3a50MidBuyCesar Almeida33¢$69
8h ago0x9f66…3a50MidBuyCesar Almeida33¢$69
10h ago0x021C7Df18153E2636e368e85F0Cedb34C245232f-1767207000808MidBuyDonte Johnson67¢$613
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$843
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$14
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$9
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$141
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$22
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$19
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$7
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$17
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$19
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$175
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$51
13h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$226
13h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$20
13h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$102
13h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$75
13h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$189
13h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$2
13h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$94
13h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$56
13h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$94
14h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$140
14h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$332
14h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$1
15h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$6
15h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$7
15h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$4
15h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$309
15h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$1,438
15h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$1,438
15h agoelmcap2MidBuyDonte Johnson66¢$123
22h agoBagwell306MidBuyCesar Almeida35¢$35
1d ago8DDDMidSellCesar Almeida35¢$2,610
1d ago8DDDMidSellCesar Almeida35¢$2
1d ago8DDDMidSellCesar Almeida35¢$3
1d ago8DDDMidSellCesar Almeida35¢$398
1d ago8DDDMidSellCesar Almeida35¢$350
1d ago8DDDMidSellCesar Almeida35¢$7
1d ago8DDDMidSellCesar Almeida35¢$426
1d agohi774cMidBuyCesar Almeida35¢$367
1d ago8DDDMidSellCesar Almeida35¢$426