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FAA outage attributed to Iran?

ActiveLiquidity $1·Volume $0·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes2%No98%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 03:10computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$67.0K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$120.3K
72h +$120.3K
Smart money entered97¢98¢at 03:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 17d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$1
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $67.0K riding on it.

The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $67.0K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$120.3K, +$120.3K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 03:10
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agoCarMidBuyNo98¢$44
1h agoCarMidBuyNo98¢$44
2h agoCarMidBuyNo98¢$20
2h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo98¢$23,044
2h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo98¢$23,044
2h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo98¢$1,084
2h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo98¢$1,084
2h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo98¢$5,870
2h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo98¢$5,870
2h agoCarMidSellYes2.0¢$21
2h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$3,496
2h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$3,496
2h agoCarMidSellYes3.8¢$40
2h agoCarMidSellYes3.8¢$5
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$658
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$658
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$38
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$38
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$19
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$19
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$4,037
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$357
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$4,037
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$357
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$36
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$36
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$97
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$97
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$508
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$508
4h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$74
4h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$601
4h agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo97¢$171
4h agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo97¢$32
4h agoCarMidBuyYes2.0¢$44
4h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo98¢$8,434
4h agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo97¢$32
4h agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo97¢$3
4h agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo97¢$29
4h agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo97¢$32
4h agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo97¢$3
4h agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo97¢$29
4h ago0xe732…898fMidSellNo98¢$298
4h agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo97¢$32
4h agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo97¢$33
4h agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo97¢$33
4h agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo97¢$167
4h agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo97¢$167
4h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$1,075
4h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$1,075