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FAA outage attributed to a foreign actor?

ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes4%No96%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:33computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$7,846 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$12.8K
72h +$12.8K
Smart money entered95¢96¢at 02:33(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 17d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $7,846 riding on it.

The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $7,846 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$12.8K, +$12.8K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 02:33
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo96¢$27
1h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo96¢$27
1h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo96¢$80
1h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo96¢$80
1h agoCarMidSellNo98¢$168
1h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo97¢$336
1h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo95¢$528
1h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo96¢$318
1h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo95¢$528
1h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo96¢$318
1h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$196
1h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$196
1h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$126
1h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo97¢$126
1h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo97¢$19
1h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo96¢$213
1h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo96¢$213
2h agoCarMidBuyNo96¢$129
2h agoCarMidBuyNo96¢$63
2h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo97¢$19
2h agoCarMidBuyNo95¢$190
2h agoCarMidBuyNo96¢$786
2h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$589
2h agoCarMidBuyNo96¢$786
2h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$589
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$19
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$0
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$0
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$18
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$18
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$36
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$36
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$8
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$0
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$0
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$8
3h agoCarMidBuyNo95¢$352
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$19
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$19
3h agoCarMidBuyNo95¢$352
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo94¢$521
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo94¢$521
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$5
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$0
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$29
3h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo96¢$19
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo94¢$1
3h ago0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642TopBuyNo94¢$1
3h agoCarMidBuyNo94¢$0
3h agoCarMidBuyNo94¢$208