FAA outage attributed to a foreign actor?
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$7,846 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$12.8K
72h +$12.8K
Smart money entered95¢96¢at 02:33(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 17d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $7,846 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $7,846 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$12.8K, +$12.8K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $27 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $27 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $80 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $80 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $168 |
| 1h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $336 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 95¢ | $528 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $318 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 95¢ | $528 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $318 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $196 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $196 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $126 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $126 |
| 1h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $19 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $213 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $213 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $129 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $63 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $19 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $190 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $786 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $589 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $786 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $589 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $19 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $18 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $18 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $36 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $36 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $8 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $8 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $352 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $19 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $19 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $352 |
| 3h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 94¢ | $521 |
| 3h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 94¢ | $521 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $29 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $19 |
| 3h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 94¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 94¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $208 |