Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 14, 6:00 AM ET?
ActiveLiquidity $3,287·Volume $6,346·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$1,737 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,346
72h +$2,346
Smart money entered83¢100¢at 01:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 8h 8m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$3,287
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,737 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,737 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,346, +$2,346 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $254 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $13 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $254 |
| 1h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 83¢ | $218 |
| 1h ago | Contentious-DinnerdateMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $170 |
| 1h ago | 0x5999…ae94Mid | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $1,090 |
| 1h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 82¢ | $43 |
| 1h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 82¢ | $36 |
| 1h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 82¢ | $65 |
| 1h ago | 0xe732…898fMid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $30 |
| 1h ago | 0xe732…898fMid | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0xe732…898fMid | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xe732…898fMid | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $17 |
| 2h ago | 0xe732…898fMid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $112 |
| 2h ago | 0xe732…898fMid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $162 |
| 2h ago | Contentious-DinnerdateMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Contentious-DinnerdateMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $56 |
| 2h ago | Contentious-DinnerdateMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $185 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $348 |
| 2h ago | Contentious-DinnerdateMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $185 |