Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 15, 12:00 AM ET?
ActiveLiquidity $19.6K·Volume $61.0K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$411 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,591
72h +$1,591
Smart money entered97¢98¢at 01:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 26h 7m(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$19.6K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $411 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,591, +$1,591 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $121 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $40 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $738 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $738 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 6.4¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $144 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $194 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $190 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $283 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $252 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $11 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $11 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $12 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $182 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $190 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $191 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $191 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $191 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $191 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $193 |
| 3h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $93 |
| 3h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $93 |