Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 10:00 PM ET?
ActiveLiquidity $8,470·Volume $163.4K·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$10.0K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$75.0K
72h +$75.0K
Smart money entered15¢94¢at 01:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 8m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$8,470
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $10.0K riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 15¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$75.0K, +$75.0K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $2,304 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $2,306 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $2,306 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $2,304 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $1,095 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $1,095 |
| 1h ago | 0x22db…190fTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $49 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $3,178 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $3,178 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $288 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $288 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $533 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $533 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $533 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $533 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $47 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $47 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $160 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $160 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $19 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $19 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $200 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Sell | Yes | 93¢ | $428 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Sell | Yes | 93¢ | $130 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $781 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $781 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $36 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $36 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $696 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | Yes | 11¢ | $37 |
| 1h ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | Yes | 11¢ | $37 |
| 1h ago | dromedaryyMid | Buy | Yes | 10.0¢ | $5,968 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $11 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $30 |
| 1h ago | 0x5999…ae94Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $209 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $11 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x22db…190fTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $26 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 11¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 11¢ | $9 |
| 1h ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $30 |
| 1h ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $30 |
| 2h ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $2 |