Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $2,887·Volume $2,957·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes29%No71%
Smart money leans
No
89% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
89%price89%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,275 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,082
72h +$3,082
Smart money entered65¢89¢at 05:27(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 18d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$2,887
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,275 riding on it.
The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 65¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,275 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,082, +$3,082 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:27
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0xc004…c095Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $1,013 |
| 1h ago | 0xc004…c095Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $1,013 |
| 1h ago | 0xc004…c095Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $18 |
| 1h ago | 0xc004…c095Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $18 |
| 3h ago | 0xc004…c095Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $35 |
| 3h ago | 0xc004…c095Top | Buy | No | 65¢ | $2,301 |