Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $5,330·Volume $9,806·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$425 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered94¢99¢at 18:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$5,330
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $425 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $425 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.