Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?
ActiveLiquidity $96·Volume $5,861·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$343 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered65¢100¢at 07:16(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$96
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $343 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 65¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $343 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:16
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $306 |
| 3d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $2 |
| 4w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $4 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $2 |
| 9w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $2 |