Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $92.6K·Volume $182.5K·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes17%No84%
Smart money leans
Yes
17% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
91%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
17%price17%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$1,316 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$3,244
Smart money entered13¢17¢at 02:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$92.6K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,316 riding on it.
The price of 17% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 13¢; the price was 17¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$3,244 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $83 |
| 5h ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $83 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $54 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $54 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $1,200 |
| 2d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $87 |
| 2d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $87 |
| 2d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $1,200 |
| 3d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $89 |
| 3d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pkzMid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $1,376 |
| 2w ago | pkzMid | Sell | Yes | 22¢ | $847 |
| 2w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 81¢ | $49 |
| 2w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $34 |
| 2w ago | pkzMid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $555 |
| 2w ago | pkzMid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $81 |
| 2w ago | pkzMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $1,519 |
| 2w ago | pkzMid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $81 |
| 2w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $49 |
| 2w ago | pkzMid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $42 |
| 2w ago | pkzMid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $82 |
| 2w ago | pkzMid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 85¢ | $146 |
| 4w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $29 |
| 4w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $90 |
| 4w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $48 |
| 5w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $66 |