Will PP win the most seats in Valladolid in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $8,392·Volume $4,360·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes91%No10%
Smart money leans
Yes
91% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
88%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
91%price91%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$735 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered85¢91¢at 07:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$8,392
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $735 riding on it.
The price of 91% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 91¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $735 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.