Will Lisa Su be the next CEO of NVIDIA?
ActiveLiquidity $195·Volume $51·Ends Jan 1, 2029
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$5,105 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$5,232
Smart money entered97¢98¢at 07:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 778d(Jan 1, 2029)Liquidity$195
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $5,105 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $5,105 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$5,232 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:59
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $117 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | haveagooddayMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | haveagooddayMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | haveagooddayMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $64 |
| 1d ago | haveagooddayMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | haveagooddayMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $28 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $49 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $79 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | aviatoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | haveagooddayMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $222 |
| 1d ago | haveagooddayMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $222 |
| 2d ago | aviatoMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $1,497 |
| 2d ago | elmcap2Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $2,413 |
| 2d ago | aviatoMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,887 |
| 2d ago | ElonJailMid | Buy | Yes | 2.8¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 0xff7c…b233Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $147 |
| 3d ago | 0xff7c…b233Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $147 |
| 3d ago | aviatoMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $39 |
| 3d ago | aviatoMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $39 |