Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?
ActiveLiquidity $9,829·Volume $96.8K·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$400 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,658
72h +$1,658
Smart money entered42¢100¢at 07:21(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy9h agoResolvesin 37m(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$9,829
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $400 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 42¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $400 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,658, +$1,658 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:21
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | No | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | No | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 4h ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $889 |
| 5h ago | pbshineMid | Buy | No | 15¢ | $484 |
| 5h ago | pbshineMid | Buy | No | 15¢ | $464 |
| 5h ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 14¢ | $67 |
| 6h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $204 |
| 8h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 55¢ | $22 |
| 8h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 55¢ | $22 |
| 9h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $104 |
| 9h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 51¢ | $41 |
| 9h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 51¢ | $41 |
| 10h ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $370 |
| 10h ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $370 |
| 11h ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $487 |
| 11h ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $487 |
| 11h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 52¢ | $16 |
| 11h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 52¢ | $16 |
| 12h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $15 |
| 12h ago | moonlight2020Mid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $297 |
| 12h ago | moonlight2020Mid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $297 |
| 12h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $420 |
| 13h ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $36 |
| 13h ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $35 |
| 14h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $2 |
| 14h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $15 |
| 14h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $2 |
| 14h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $311 |