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Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?

ActiveLiquidity $9,829·Volume $96.8K·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:21computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$400 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,658
72h +$1,658
Smart money entered42¢100¢at 07:21(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy9h agoResolvesin 37m(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$9,829
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $400 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 42¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $400 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,658, +$1,658 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:21
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agoG.HchenTopSellNo0.3¢$0
1h agoG.HchenTopSellNo0.3¢$0
4h agotroimMidSellYes89¢$889
5h agopbshineMidBuyNo15¢$484
5h agopbshineMidBuyNo15¢$464
5h agotroimMidSellYes89¢$1
6h agotroimMidBuyNo14¢$67
6h agotroimMidBuyNo13¢$204
8h agoifyoulovemeTopSellYes55¢$22
8h agoifyoulovemeTopSellYes55¢$22
9h ago1walrusMidBuyYes52¢$104
9h agoG.HchenTopBuyNo51¢$41
9h agoG.HchenTopBuyNo51¢$41
10h agotroimMidBuyYes37¢$370
10h agotroimMidBuyYes37¢$370
11h agoclazzy1MidSellNo43¢$487
11h agoclazzy1MidSellNo43¢$487
11h agoG.HchenTopBuyNo52¢$16
11h agoG.HchenTopBuyNo52¢$16
12h agoifyoulovemeTopBuyYes37¢$15
12h agomoonlight2020MidBuyYes40¢$297
12h agomoonlight2020MidBuyYes40¢$297
12h agoclazzy1MidBuyNo66¢$420
13h agoTBill1MidBuyNo64¢$36
13h agoTBill1MidBuyNo64¢$35
14h agoclazzy1MidBuyNo66¢$2
14h agoclazzy1MidBuyNo66¢$15
14h agoclazzy1MidBuyNo66¢$2
14h agoclazzy1MidBuyNo66¢$311