Will Ilhan Omar resign by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $11.8K·Volume $5,884·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$933 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered90¢99¢at 17:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$11.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $933 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $933 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $200 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $121 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $200 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $198 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $179 |