Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $64.5K·Volume $129.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$7,585 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$4,252
Smart money entered97¢98¢at 14:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 52d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$64.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $7,585 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $7,585 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$4,252 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 14:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $603 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $603 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $594 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $594 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $940 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $940 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $2,425 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $4,850 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $140 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $48 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $60 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $4,141 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,079 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $101 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $95 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5,522 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5,394 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $101 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $40 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $51 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $51 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $31 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $10 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $1 |