Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $1,640·Volume $3,798·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$516 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered95¢99¢at 05:24(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 18d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$1,640
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $516 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $516 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:24
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | Contentious-DinnerdateMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $263 |
| 1w ago | Contentious-DinnerdateMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $253 |