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UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $9,255·Volume $49·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Macy Chiasson0%Bia Mesquita100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:49computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Bia Mesquita
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$25.3K
72h +$25.3K
Smart money entered91¢100¢at 07:49(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy9h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$9,255
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Bia Mesquita", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$25.3K, +$25.3K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:49
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$7
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$15
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$50
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$1,315
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$4
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$14
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$281
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$1,077
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$35
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$341
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$41
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$2
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$69
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$26
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$77
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$3
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$200
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$2,684
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$4,430
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$633
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$209
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$2
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$41
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$11
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$1
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$723
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$4
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$84
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$3
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$21
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$34
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$77
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$210
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$14
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$4,738
9h ago0x543b…6c81MidBuyBia Mesquita100¢$337
9h agofrohp5MidBuyMacy Chiasson8.8¢$200
9h agofrohp5MidBuyMacy Chiasson8.8¢$200
9h ago0xb3f3…3426MidBuyMacy Chiasson28¢$104
9h ago0xb3f3…3426MidBuyMacy Chiasson30¢$52
9h agofrohp5MidBuyMacy Chiasson31¢$1,111
9h ago0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319MidBuyMacy Chiasson31¢$1,033
11h agoelmcap2MidBuyBia Mesquita71¢$3,550
11h agoelmcap2MidBuyBia Mesquita70¢$561
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyBia Mesquita70¢$125
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyBia Mesquita70¢$2
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyBia Mesquita70¢$22
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyBia Mesquita70¢$8
12h agoelmcap2MidBuyBia Mesquita70¢$210
13h agoelmcap2MidBuyBia Mesquita70¢$164