Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?
ActiveLiquidity $33.2K·Volume $24.2K·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes48%No52%
Smart money leans
Yes
48% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
48%price48%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$438 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered44¢48¢at 00:40(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$33.2K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $438 riding on it.
The price of 48% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 44¢; the price was 48¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $438 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:40
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $90 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $133 |
| 2w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $63 |
| 2w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $22 |
| 3w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $44 |
| 3w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $91 |
| 3w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 44¢ | $2 |