Next US president 80+ years old at inauguration?
ActiveLiquidity $5,382·Volume $588·Ends Jan 21, 2029
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$518 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$538
Smart money entered92¢96¢at 19:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 802d(Jan 21, 2029)Liquidity$5,382
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $518 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $518 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$538 on this position.