Next US president 70+ years old at inauguration?
ActiveLiquidity $2,299·Volume $79·Ends Jan 21, 2029
Price now:Yes6%No94%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 19:49Smart money exiting · $492 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$694 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$492
72h +$505
Smart money entered87¢94¢at 19:49(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 802d(Jan 21, 2029)Liquidity$2,299
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $694 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Warning: wallets that backed "No" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $694 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$492, +$505 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.