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Next US president 45+ years old at inauguration?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $1,264·Volume $0·Ends Jan 21, 2029
Price now:Yes45%No56%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 19:34computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
56% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
56%price56%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$167 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$336
72h +$336
Smart money entered55¢56¢at 19:34(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy12h agoResolvesin 802d(Jan 21, 2029)Liquidity$1,264
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $167 riding on it.

The price of 56% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 55¢; the price was 56¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $167 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$336, +$336 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 19:34
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
12h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$3
12h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$3
17h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$2
17h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$2
18h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$13
18h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$0
18h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$24
18h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$24
18h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$13
18h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$0
18h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$11
18h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$11
18h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$80
18h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$22
18h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$80
18h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$22
18h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$11
18h agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo55¢$11