Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $12.2K·Volume $74.1K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$22.4K
72h +$22.4K
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 15:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy21h agoResolvesin 51d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$12.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$22.4K, +$22.4K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21h ago | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $5,544 |
| 21h ago | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $5,544 |
| 21h ago | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $5,654 |
| 21h ago | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $5,654 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $4,570 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $98 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $22 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $58 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $97 |