Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
ActiveLiquidity $154.7K·Volume $19.3K·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Spurs12%Bulls89%
Smart money leans
Spurs
45% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.4pp
model above price
Consensus
97%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
45%price45%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$6,098 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$11.9K
72h +$11.9K
Smart money entered45¢45¢at 01:50(0% priced in)Edge left+0.4ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$154.7K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Spurs", with $6,098 riding on it.
The price of 45% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 45¢; the price was 45¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$11.9K, +$11.9K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Spurs | 22¢ | $50 |
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Spurs | 22¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 6512395314597884Mid | Buy | Spurs | 22¢ | $50 |
| 2h ago | 0xheavy888Mid | Buy | Spurs | 45¢ | $225 |
| 4h ago | RJW1Mid | Buy | Spurs | 45¢ | $208 |
| 13h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Bulls | 56¢ | $10 |
| 13h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Bulls | 56¢ | $340 |
| 13h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Bulls | 56¢ | $340 |
| 13h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | Spurs | 44¢ | $38 |
| 13h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Bulls | 54¢ | $5 |
| 21h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Spurs | 44¢ | $145 |
| 21h ago | wapolMid | Buy | Bulls | 56¢ | $143 |
| 21h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Spurs | 43¢ | $215 |
| 21h ago | HomeRunHazardMid | Buy | Spurs | 43¢ | $215 |